Our model's view of how many goals the match produces across every competition playing on 22 September 2026 — and, above the table, how this market has actually performed.
Kick-off times in UTC · 80 matches priced · rebuilt every few minutes
Measured, not claimed: every over/under prediction we publish is graded once the match is settled, and the misses are counted in the same place as the hits. The full record is in the app's Accuracy Ledger.
| UTC | Match | Competition | Over / under | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Toluca Women v Tigres UANL Women | Liga MX Femenil | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 00:15 | Lanús v Estudiantes de La Plata | Liga Profesional Argentina | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 00:30 | Corinthians Women v Bahia Women | Brasileiro Women | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 00:30 | Cuiabá v Nautico Recife | Serie B | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 00:30 | Real Cartagena v Envigado | Primera B | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 00:30 | Independiente Petrolero v Real Tomayapo | Copa de la División Profesional | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 00:30 | Barcelona SC v Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 01:00 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC v Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso | Under 3.5 goals | 74% |
| 01:00 | UMECIT v Union Cocle | Liga Panameña de Fútbol | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 01:00 | Arnett Gardens v Dunbeholden | Premier League | Under 3.5 goals | 74% |
| 01:06 | Santos Laguna Women v Cruz Azul Women | Liga MX Femenil | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 02:05 | Reboceros La Piedad v Irapuato | Primera Premier | Under 3.5 goals | 75% |
| 05:00 | Vietnam U23 v Uzbekistan U23 | Asian Games | Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| 05:00 | Philippines U23 v Kuwait U23 | Asian Games | Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| 09:00 | RTC v Tsirang | Premier League | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 09:00 | Brothers Union v Rahmatgonj MFS | Federation Cup | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 09:00 | Abahani v Chattogram | Federation Cup | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 09:00 | Fortis v Fakirerpool | Federation Cup | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 09:30 | Mohammedan SC v East Bengal II | IFA Shield | Under 3.5 goals | 75% |
| 10:00 | Korea Republic U23 v Saudi Arabia U23 | Asian Games | Under 3.5 goals | 74% |
| 11:00 | FarDu v Buxdu | Pro League A | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 11:30 | Sardarapat 2 v Ararat-Armenia II | First League | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 11:30 | Ararat II v Pyunik Yerevan II | First League | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 11:30 | Bentonit Ijevan v Mika | First League | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 12:00 | Charlton Athletic U21 v Sheffield United U21 | Professional Development League | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 12:00 | Wigan Athletic U21 v Coventry City U21 | Professional Development League | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 13:00 | Mozambique U20 v Mauritius U20 | COSAFA U20 Championship | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 13:00 | Namibia U20 v Seychelles U20 | COSAFA U20 Championship | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 14:00 | Qiziriq v Gazalkent | Pro League A | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 14:30 | Mes Kerman v Saipa | Azadegan League | Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| 14:30 | Dumbrăviţa v CSM Reşiţa | Liga II | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 14:40 | Al Hamriyah v Al Thaid | Presidents Cup | Under 3.5 goals | 74% |
| 14:40 | Al Urooba v City | Presidents Cup | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 14:40 | Dibba Al-Fujairah v Ittifaq | Presidents Cup | Under 3.5 goals | 74% |
| 15:00 | DC Power Women v Fort Lauderdale United Women | USL Super League | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 15:00 | Al-Bidda v Al Shamal SC | QSL Cup | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 15:00 | Havadar v Be'sat Kermanshah | Azadegan League | Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| 15:00 | Tanzania U20 v Burundi U20 | CECAFA U20 Championship | Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| 15:00 | Uganda U20 v Sudan U20 | CECAFA U20 Championship | Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| 15:15 | Mes Soongoun v Mes Rafsanjan | Azadegan League | Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| 16:00 | Naft Gachsaran v Ario Eslamshahr | Azadegan League | Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| 16:00 | Naft Masjed Soleyman v Naft Bandar Abbas | Azadegan League | Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| 16:45 | Inter Milan Women v Häcken | UEFA Champions League Women | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 16:45 | Bayern Munich Women v Manchester City Women | UEFA Champions League Women | Under 3.5 goals | 75% |
| 17:00 | AGF v Nordsjælland | Kvindeliga | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 17:00 | ASA Targu Mures v CS Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga II | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 17:00 | US Biskra v JS Saoura | Ligue 1 | Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| 17:00 | FC Tallinn v Harju Jk Laagri U21 | Cup | Under 3.5 goals | 75% |
| 17:00 | Bristol City U21 v Hull City U21 | Professional Development League | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 17:00 | Husqvarna Women v Växjö | Svenska Cupen - Women | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 17:00 | KIF Örebro DFF v AIK | Svenska Cupen - Women | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 17:15 | Al Mesaimeer v Al Waab | QSL Cup | Under 3.5 goals | 74% |
| 17:15 | Muaither SC v Al-Khor | QSL Cup | Under 3.5 goals | 75% |
| 17:45 | Austria Klagenfurt v Donau Klagenfurt | Regionalliga - South | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Groene Ster v AFC Amsterdam | KNVB Beker | Under 3.5 goals | 74% |
| 18:00 | RKAV Volendam v Spakenburg | KNVB Beker | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Salford City v Sheffield Wednesday FC | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | EVV v Halsteren | KNVB Beker | Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| 18:00 | Cheltenham v Exeter City | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Rochdale v Liverpool U21 | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 75% |
| 18:00 | Peterborough v Colchester | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Koninklijke HFC v Dovo | KNVB Beker | Under 3.5 goals | 75% |
| 18:00 | Kloetinge v Achilles Veen | KNVB Beker | Under 3.5 goals | 75% |
| 18:00 | Walsall v Stevenage | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Milton Keynes Dons v Crawley Town | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Crewe v Aston Villa U21 | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | York v Rotherham United | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Burton Albion v Nottingham Forest U21 | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Fluminense U17 v Athletico PR U17 | Brasileiro U17 | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Luton v Ipswich Town U21 | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Leicester v Fulham U21 | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Oldham v Fleetwood Town | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Cruzeiro U17 v Bahia U17 | Brasileiro U17 | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Barnsley v Leeds United U21 | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Clube 1992 v Panambi | Gaúcho - 3 | Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| 18:00 | Wigan v Blackpool | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Notts County v Grimsby | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Plymouth v Crystal Palace U21 | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Internacional U17 v Atlético Mineiro U17 | Brasileiro U17 | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
| 18:00 | Gillingham v Cambridge United | EFL Trophy | Under 3.5 goals | 80% |
The same fixtures, priced for a different question.
Every fixture above carries a published probability for how many goals the match produces. The model is fitted on historical results rather than on opinion, it is re-run when a starting XI is confirmed, and each prediction is settled and graded fifteen minutes after full time. Nothing is removed afterwards.
That last part is the difference. A prediction site that shows you today's tips and never mentions yesterday's is asking you to take accuracy on trust. The hit rate, the sample size and the calibration gap at the top of this page are the same numbers the app publishes for free, and they are recomputed after every settlement pass.
A Dixon-Coles model fitted on historical results produces a probability for how many goals the match produces. Team strength, home advantage and recent form are the inputs; the output is a distribution, not a tip.
The number at the top of this page is the measured hit rate over the last 30 days for this exact market, with the count of settled predictions beside it. It moves with the record, including downwards.
The model's probability for the selection shown. It is a calibrated probability, so over a large enough sample the selections shown at 70% should land about 70% of the time - the gap between those two numbers is published as the calibration gap.
No. Vecta Score is not a bookmaker, takes no bets and holds no funds. These are statistical estimates published for information, and outcomes are not guaranteed.
Every market on every match, the edge against the market price and the AI panel live in the app - and the Accuracy Ledger is free in it.
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