Our model's view of which side opens the scoring across every competition playing on 7 November 2026 — and, above the table, how this market has actually performed.
Kick-off times in UTC · 80 matches priced · rebuilt every few minutes
Measured, not claimed: every first goal prediction we publish is graded once the match is settled, and the misses are counted in the same place as the hits. The full record is in the app's Accuracy Ledger.
| UTC | Match | Competition | First goal | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | FC Santiago v Halcones Negros | Liga Premier Serie A | FC Santiago score first | 61% |
| 00:00 | Inca Aruba v Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | Isidro Metapán score first | 53% |
| 00:00 | DC Power Women v Lexington Women | USL Super League | Lexington Women score first | 45% |
| 00:30 | RCA v Britannia | Division di Honor | Britannia score first | 59% |
| 00:30 | Fort Lauderdale United Women v Tampa Bay Sun Women | USL Super League | Tampa Bay Sun Women score first | 55% |
| 01:00 | Acatlan v Real Refineros | Liga Premier Serie A | Acatlan score first | 61% |
| 01:00 | Cruz Azul Women v León Women | Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul Women score first | 55% |
| 01:00 | Necaxa v Club Tijuana | Liga MX | Club Tijuana score first | 47% |
| 01:00 | Atletico San Luis v FC Juarez | Liga MX | Atletico San Luis score first | 65% |
| 01:00 | Fortaleza FC v Independiente Medellin | Primera A | Independiente Medellin score first | 49% |
| 01:00 | Tigre v Sarmiento de Junín | Liga Profesional Argentina | Tigre score first | 56% |
| 01:00 | Banfield v Atlético Tucumán | Liga Profesional Argentina | Atlético Tucumán score first | 45% |
| 01:06 | Guadalajara Women v América Women | Liga MX Femenil | América Women score first | 57% |
| 01:30 | UMECIT v Tauro FC | Liga Panameña de Fútbol | UMECIT score first | 49% |
| 01:30 | Plaza Amador FC v Sporting San Miguelito | Liga Panameña de Fútbol | Plaza Amador FC score first | 66% |
| 01:30 | Alianza FC v CD Arabe Unido | Liga Panameña de Fútbol | Alianza FC score first | 49% |
| 02:00 | Guastatoya v Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | Guastatoya score first | 68% |
| 02:00 | Guadalupe FC v ADR Jicaral | Liga de Ascenso | ADR Jicaral score first | 62% |
| 02:10 | Juárez Women v Monterrey Women | Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey Women score first | 54% |
| 03:00 | Atlante FC v Santos Laguna | Liga MX | Atlante FC score first | 47% |
| 03:00 | San Diego Wave Women v Utah Royals Women | NWSL Women | San Diego Wave Women score first | 54% |
| 04:00 | Marconi Stallions FC v Bayswater City | Australian Championship | Marconi Stallions FC score first | 53% |
| 04:00 | Wests APIA v Broadmeadow Magic | Australian Championship | Wests APIA score first | 50% |
| 04:00 | Central Coast Mariners Women v Newcastle Jets Women | W-League | Central Coast Mariners Women score first | 69% |
| 04:00 | Auckland v Wellington Phoenix | A-League | Auckland score first | 58% |
| 04:00 | Shimizu S-Pulse v Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | Shimizu S-Pulse score first | 56% |
| 05:00 | Jeju United FC v Gwangju FC | K League 1 | Jeju United FC score first | 63% |
| 05:00 | Blaublitz Akita v Oita Trinita | J2 League | Blaublitz Akita score first | 43% |
| 05:00 | Sagan Tosu v Kataller Toyama | J2 League | Sagan Tosu score first | 55% |
| 05:00 | Iwaki v Montedio Yamagata | J2 League | Iwaki score first | 60% |
| 05:00 | Yokohama FC v Fujieda MYFC | J2 League | Yokohama FC score first | 55% |
| 05:00 | Albirex Niigata v Imabari | J2 League | Albirex Niigata score first | 56% |
| 05:00 | Tokushima Vortis v Tegevajaro Miyazaki | J2 League | Tegevajaro Miyazaki score first | 50% |
| 05:00 | Parceiro Nagano Women v Cerezo Osaka Women | WE League | Cerezo Osaka Women score first | 50% |
| 05:00 | Nojima Stella Women v Tokyo Verdy Women | WE League | Tokyo Verdy Women score first | 49% |
| 05:00 | Vegalta Sendai v Urawa Reds Women | WE League | Urawa Reds Women score first | 48% |
| 05:00 | Yokohama F. Marinos v Fagiano Okayama | J1 League | Yokohama F. Marinos score first | 56% |
| 05:00 | Nagoya Grampus v Kyoto Sanga | J1 League | Nagoya Grampus score first | 58% |
| 05:00 | Suwon FC v Gyeongnam FC | K League 2 | Suwon FC score first | 60% |
| 05:00 | Seongnam FC v Daegu FC | K League 2 | Daegu FC score first | 52% |
| 06:00 | Wollongong Wolves v Preston Lions | Australian Championship | Preston Lions score first | 48% |
| 06:00 | Brisbane Roar Women v Melbourne Victory Women | W-League | Melbourne Victory Women score first | 47% |
| 06:00 | FC Tokyo v Kashima | J1 League | FC Tokyo score first | 57% |
| 06:00 | Avispa Fukuoka v V-Varen Nagasaki | J1 League | Avispa Fukuoka score first | 47% |
| 06:30 | Ezemvelo Women v First Touch Women | Super League Women | Ezemvelo Women score first | 40% |
| 06:30 | Tai'an Tiankuang v Xiamen Feilu | League Two | Tai'an Tiankuang score first | 52% |
| 06:30 | Shanghai Second v Guangzhou Dandelion | League Two | Shanghai Second score first | 49% |
| 06:30 | Qingdao Red Lions v Chengdu Rongcheng II | League Two | Qingdao Red Lions score first | 58% |
| 06:30 | Nantong Haimen Codion v Shangyu Pterosaur | League Two | Nantong Haimen Codion score first | 69% |
| 06:30 | Hubei Chufeng Heli v Dalian Yingbo B | League Two | Hubei Chufeng Heli score first | 44% |
| 06:30 | Guangdong Mingtu v Rizhao Yuqi | League Two | Guangdong Mingtu score first | 44% |
| 06:30 | Changchun Xidu v Yichun Grand Tiger | League Two | Changchun Xidu score first | 52% |
| 06:30 | BIT v Wuhan Three Towns II | League Two | BIT score first | 45% |
| 06:30 | Ningbo Professional v Heilongjiang Lava Spring | League One | Ningbo Professional score first | 57% |
| 06:30 | Yanbian Longding FC v Hebei Kungfu | League One | Yanbian Longding FC score first | 55% |
| 06:30 | Wuxi Wugou FC v Changchun Yatai | League One | Wuxi Wugou FC score first | 58% |
| 06:30 | Shenzhen Juniors v Suzhou Dongwu | League One | Shenzhen Juniors score first | 56% |
| 06:30 | Shaanxi Union v Guangxi Hengchen | League One | Shaanxi Union score first | 60% |
| 06:30 | Nantong Zhiyun v Dongguan United | League One | Nantong Zhiyun score first | 76% |
| 06:30 | Guangzhou E-Power v Nanjing City | League One | Guangzhou E-Power score first | 69% |
| 06:30 | Dalian Huayi v Meizhou Kejia | League One | Dalian Huayi score first | 64% |
| 07:00 | Shatin v BC Rangers | Premier League | BC Rangers score first | 50% |
| 07:00 | Kashiwa Reysol v Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League | Kashiwa Reysol score first | 55% |
| 07:30 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC v FC Anyang | K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC score first | 46% |
| 07:30 | Seoul E-Land FC v Jeonnam Dragons | K League 2 | Seoul E-Land FC score first | 70% |
| 07:30 | Gimpo Citizen v Ansan Greeners | K League 2 | Gimpo Citizen score first | 65% |
| 07:30 | Gimhae City v Hwaseong | K League 2 | Hwaseong score first | 61% |
| 08:00 | Zvezda Perm Women v Dinamo Moskva | Vysshaya Liga Women | Dinamo Moskva score first | 51% |
| 08:00 | Stellenbosch U23 v Milford Fc U23 | Diski Challenge | Stellenbosch U23 score first | 64% |
| 08:00 | Richards Bay U23 v Kruger United U23 | Diski Challenge | Richards Bay U23 score first | 52% |
| 08:00 | TS Galaxy U23 v Chippa United U23 | Diski Challenge | TS Galaxy U23 score first | 72% |
| 08:00 | Siwelele U23 v Maritzburg United U23 | Diski Challenge | Siwelele U23 score first | 62% |
| 08:00 | Kaizer Chiefs U23 v AmaZulu U23 | Diski Challenge | Kaizer Chiefs U23 score first | 69% |
| 08:00 | Perth Glory Women v Canberra United Women | W-League | Perth Glory Women score first | 50% |
| 08:30 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey v Kompong Dewa | C-League | Kompong Dewa score first | 58% |
| 08:30 | Salavan United v Master 7 | Lao League | Salavan United score first | 79% |
| 08:30 | Oudomxay Entremets v Champasak United | Lao League | Champasak United score first | 78% |
| 08:30 | Luangprabang FC v Namtha United | Lao League | Luangprabang FC score first | 76% |
| 08:30 | Lao Army v Savannakhet | Lao League | Lao Army score first | 74% |
| 08:30 | Lao Toyota v Viengchanh | Lao League | Viengchanh score first | 79% |
The same fixtures, priced for a different question.
Every fixture above carries a published probability for which side opens the scoring. The model is fitted on historical results rather than on opinion, it is re-run when a starting XI is confirmed, and each prediction is settled and graded fifteen minutes after full time. Nothing is removed afterwards.
That last part is the difference. A prediction site that shows you today's tips and never mentions yesterday's is asking you to take accuracy on trust. The hit rate, the sample size and the calibration gap at the top of this page are the same numbers the app publishes for free, and they are recomputed after every settlement pass.
A Dixon-Coles model fitted on historical results produces a probability for which side opens the scoring. Team strength, home advantage and recent form are the inputs; the output is a distribution, not a tip.
The number at the top of this page is the measured hit rate over the last 30 days for this exact market, with the count of settled predictions beside it. It moves with the record, including downwards.
The model's probability for the selection shown. It is a calibrated probability, so over a large enough sample the selections shown at 70% should land about 70% of the time - the gap between those two numbers is published as the calibration gap.
No. Vecta Score is not a bookmaker, takes no bets and holds no funds. These are statistical estimates published for information, and outcomes are not guaranteed.
Every market on every match, the edge against the market price and the AI panel live in the app - and the Accuracy Ledger is free in it.
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