Kick-off 8 November 2026 at 15:15 UTC · La Liga. Probabilities below are the ones published for this fixture; they are re-run when the starting XI is confirmed.
8 November 2026 at 15:15 UTC
| Market | Model says | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | Real Sociedad win | 54% |
| Both teams to score | Both score | 63% |
| Over / under | Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Double chance | Real Sociedad or Rayo Vallecano | 78% |
| Clean sheet | Real Sociedad clean sheet | 28% |
| Correct score | 1-1 | 10% |
| First goal | Real Sociedad score first | 59% |
| Half time / full time | Real Sociedad / Real Sociedad | 34% |
| Total corners | Over 8.5 corners | 69% |
| Total cards | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
Each row is a calibrated probability, not a tip. The model is fitted on historical results, re-run when the lineup lands, and every market here is settled and graded once the match is over — the verdict stays on the page whether it went our way or not. Market-level records live on the predictions board.
Every market on every match, the edge against the market price and the AI panel live in the app - and the Accuracy Ledger is free in it.
Get it on Google Play