Our model's view of how many cards the referee shows across every competition playing on 21 September 2026 — and, above the table, how this market has actually performed.
Kick-off times in UTC · 80 matches priced · rebuilt every few minutes
Measured, not claimed: every card prediction we publish is graded once the match is settled, and the misses are counted in the same place as the hits. The full record is in the app's Accuracy Ledger.
| UTC | Match | Competition | Total cards | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Pachuca v Club Tijuana Hit · 2-2 | Liga MX | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 00:00 | Toluca v Santos Laguna Hit · 2-3 | Liga MX | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 00:30 | Vélez Sarsfield v Tigre Hit · 3-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 01:00 | Malacateco FC v Mixco Hit · 1-0 | Liga Nacional | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 01:00 | San Carlos v CS Cartaginés | Primera División | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 01:15 | Llaneros v Atlético Nacional Hit · 2-0 | Primera A | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 02:10 | Querétaro v León FC | Liga MX | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 04:00 | New Caledonia v Solomon Islands | Friendlies | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 05:00 | Khovd v Tuv Azarganuud | Premier League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 07:00 | Bangladesh Women v Myanmar Women | Asian Games Women | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 07:00 | China Women v Philippines Women | Asian Games Women | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 07:00 | South Korea Women v Korea DPR | Asian Games Women | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 07:00 | Uzbekistan Women v Hong Kong Women | Asian Games Women | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 07:00 | Fiji v Vanuatu Hit · 0-1 | Friendlies | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 08:00 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka v Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 08:00 | Khovd Western v Erchim | Premier League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 09:00 | Sc Poltava 2 v Atlet | Druha Liga | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 09:00 | Zambia U20 v Comoros U20 | COSAFA U20 Championship | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 09:30 | Penuel v Trostianets | Druha Liga | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 10:30 | Japan Women v Chinese Taipei Women | Asian Games Women | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 10:30 | Vietnam Women v Thailand Women | Asian Games Women | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 11:00 | Pakhtakor Ii v Shortan | Pro League A | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 11:00 | Lochin v Respublika Fa | Pro League A | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 11:30 | Shirak II v Noah II | First League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 11:30 | Andranik v Lernayin Artsakh FC | First League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 11:30 | Araks Ararat v BKMA II | First League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 12:00 | Thimphu v Ugyen Academy | Premier League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 12:00 | Bolton Wanderers Res. v Queens Park Rangers U21 | Professional Development League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 12:00 | Botswana U20 v Malawi U20 | COSAFA U20 Championship | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 12:30 | Skala 1911 Stryi v Vilkhivtsi | Druha Liga | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Niroye Zamini v Fard Alborz | Azadegan League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Switzerland U19 v Northern Ireland U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Czech Republic U19 v Netherlands U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Spain U19 v Finland U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Czech Republic U19 v Croatia U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | France U19 v Republic of Ireland U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | France U19 v Norway U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Montenegro U19 v Faroe Islands U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Northern Ireland U19 v North Macedonia U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Poland U19 v Luxembourg U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Poland U19 v Andorra U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Scotland U19 v Kazakhstan U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Slovenia U19 v Belarus U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Sweden U19 v Lithuania U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Wales U19 v Iceland U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Denmark U19 v Georgia U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | England U19 v Slovenia U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | England U19 v Belarus U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Georgia U19 v San Marino U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Germany U19 v Lithuania U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Luxembourg U19 v Andorra U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Moldova U19 v Latvia U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Spain U19 v Wales U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Cyprus U19 v Albania U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Czech Republic U19 v Hungary U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Greece U19 v Republic of Ireland U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Republic of Ireland U19 v Norway U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Israel U19 v Ukraine U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Israel U19 v Romania U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Italy U19 v Israel U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Italy U19 v Ukraine U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Serbia U19 v Azerbaijan U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Serbia U19 v Faroe Islands U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Cyprus U19 v Armenia U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Slovakia U19 v Turkey U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Slovakia U19 v Liechtenstein U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Turkey U19 v Liechtenstein U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Hayq v Olympia Yerevan | First League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Denmark U19 v San Marino U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Scotland U19 v Kosovo U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 v Georgia U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 v San Marino U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Estonia U19 v Liechtenstein U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Finland U19 v Wales U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Greece U19 v Norway U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Hungary U19 v Croatia U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Hungary U19 v Netherlands U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Italy U19 v Romania U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Kazakhstan U19 v Kosovo U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Latvia U19 v Gibraltar U19 | UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
The same fixtures, priced for a different question.
Every fixture above carries a published probability for how many cards the referee shows. The model is fitted on historical results rather than on opinion, it is re-run when a starting XI is confirmed, and each prediction is settled and graded fifteen minutes after full time. Nothing is removed afterwards.
That last part is the difference. A prediction site that shows you today's tips and never mentions yesterday's is asking you to take accuracy on trust. The hit rate, the sample size and the calibration gap at the top of this page are the same numbers the app publishes for free, and they are recomputed after every settlement pass.
A Dixon-Coles model fitted on historical results produces a probability for how many cards the referee shows. Team strength, home advantage and recent form are the inputs; the output is a distribution, not a tip.
The number at the top of this page is the measured hit rate over the last 30 days for this exact market, with the count of settled predictions beside it. It moves with the record, including downwards.
The model's probability for the selection shown. It is a calibrated probability, so over a large enough sample the selections shown at 70% should land about 70% of the time - the gap between those two numbers is published as the calibration gap.
No. Vecta Score is not a bookmaker, takes no bets and holds no funds. These are statistical estimates published for information, and outcomes are not guaranteed.
Every market on every match, the edge against the market price and the AI panel live in the app - and the Accuracy Ledger is free in it.
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