Our model's view of how many cards the referee shows across every competition playing on 5 November 2026 — and, above the table, how this market has actually performed.
Kick-off times in UTC · 80 matches priced · rebuilt every few minutes
Measured, not claimed: every card prediction we publish is graded once the match is settled, and the misses are counted in the same place as the hits. The full record is in the app's Accuracy Ledger.
| UTC | Match | Competition | Total cards | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Ferro Carril v Club Nacional Miss · 1-2 | Copa Uruguay | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 00:00 | LDU Quito v Universidad Católica | Copa Ecuador | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 00:00 | Puntarenas FC v San Carlos | Primera División | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 00:00 | Sporting Baie-Mahault v Siroco Les Abymes | Coupe de France | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 00:15 | Olimpia v Deportivo Recoleta Hit · 4-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 00:30 | The Strongest v Always Ready Miss · 1-4 | Copa de la División Profesional | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 00:30 | São Paulo FC v Corinthians Miss · 0-0 | Serie A | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 00:30 | Botafogo v Atletico-MG Hit · 1-0 | Serie A | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 01:00 | Firpo v Alianza | Primera Division | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 01:00 | Municipal Limeño v Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 01:05 | Tlaxcala v CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 01:30 | Universitario v Sport Boys | Primera División | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 01:30 | Millonarios v America de Cali | Primera A | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 01:30 | CD Olimpia v Juticalpa | Liga Nacional | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 02:00 | Escorpiones Belén v LD Alajuelense | Primera División | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 05:00 | Khovd Western v Ulaangom City | Premier League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 08:00 | Amtat Fc v Erchim | Premier League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 08:30 | Sydney Olympic v Oakleigh Cannons | Australian Championship | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 10:00 | Machida Zelvia v Shanghai Shenhua | AFC Cup | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 10:00 | Home United v Adelaide United Hit · 5-0 | AFC Cup | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 10:00 | Kitchee v Phnom Penh Crown | AFC Cup | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 11:00 | Saint-luc v Lubumbashi Sport | Ligue 1 | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 11:00 | Butras v Simba | Ligue 1 | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 11:00 | Zaqatala v MOIK | Birinci Dəstə | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 11:00 | Səbail FK v Cəbrayıl | Birinci Dəstə | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 11:00 | Karvan v Şimal | Birinci Dəstə | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 11:00 | Baku Sportinq v Xankəndi FK | Birinci Dəstə | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 11:30 | Churchill Brothers v NorthEast United | Indian Super League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 12:00 | FAR Rabat Women v Usfas Bamako Women | CAF Women's Champions League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 12:00 | Trepça Mitrovicë v Istogu | Liga E Pare | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 12:15 | Svay Rieng v Tampines Rovers | AFC Cup | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 12:15 | Bangkok Glass v Wofoo Tai Po | AFC Cup | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 12:15 | Kuching City v Gangwon FC | AFC Cup | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 12:30 | El Gouna v El Shorta | Cup | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 12:45 | Fanja v Al Musannah | Professional League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | NAPSA Stars FC v Power Dynamos | Super League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Konkola Blades v Trident | Super League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Samaleswari Sc v Dempo | I-League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Sanga Balende v Blessing | Ligue 1 | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | AS New Soger v CS Manika | Ligue 1 | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Shams Azar Qazvin v Sanat Naft | Persian Gulf Pro League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Ntugasaze v Entebbe UPPC | Premier League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Sunrise v Al Merreikh | National Soccer League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Marines v Police | National Soccer League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Nchanga Rangers v Makeni All Stars | Super League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Mutondo Stars v Mufulira Wanderers | Super League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Green Buffaloes v ZESCO United | Super League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Chirundu Utd v Green Eagles | Super League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:00 | Al Kahrabaa v Zakho | Iraqi League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:25 | Al Kholood v Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:30 | Bunyodkor v Xorazm | Super League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 13:45 | Diyala v Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 14:00 | Vozdovac U19 v Novi Pazar U19 | U19 league | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 14:00 | Rangers FC v New Jack | Ligue 1 | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 14:00 | ATK Mohun Bagan v Odisha | Indian Super League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 14:00 | Nico United v Morupule Wanderers FC | Premier League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 14:15 | Qatar U23 v Al-Khor | Second Division | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 14:15 | Al-Markhiya v Al Waab | Second Division | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 15:00 | Ampem Darkoa Women v Kawempe Muslim Women | CAF Women's Champions League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 15:00 | FC Jerusalem v Dimona | Liga Alef | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 15:00 | Chindia Târgoviște v Popești-Leordeni | Liga II | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 15:00 | National Bank of Egypt v Bur Fouad | Cup | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 15:10 | Abha v Al Shabab | Pro League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 15:20 | Dhofar v Saham | Professional League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 15:30 | Stella v AFAD | Ligue 1 | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 15:30 | San-Pédro v SOA | Ligue 1 | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 15:30 | Bouaké v Korhogo | Ligue 1 | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 15:30 | Mosul v Duhok | Iraqi League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 16:00 | Express v Blacks Power | Premier League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 16:30 | Volga Ulyanovsk v Chertanovo Moscow | Cup | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 16:30 | Al Rayyan Sc B v Al Kharaitiyat | Second Division | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 16:45 | Neom Sc Women v Al Hilal Women | Premier League Women | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 17:00 | Vipers v Lugazi | Premier League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 17:00 | Al-Ittihad FC v Al Suqoor | Pro League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 17:00 | Al-Hazem v Al-Nassr | Pro League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 17:00 | Al-Fateh SC v Al Riyadh | Pro League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 17:00 | Al-Faisaly v Al Diriyah | Pro League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 17:00 | Al-Ettifaq v Al-Hilal Saudi | Pro League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 17:00 | Al-Ahli Saudi v Al Taawoun FC | Pro League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
| 17:00 | Police XI v Township Rollers | Premier League | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
The same fixtures, priced for a different question.
Every fixture above carries a published probability for how many cards the referee shows. The model is fitted on historical results rather than on opinion, it is re-run when a starting XI is confirmed, and each prediction is settled and graded fifteen minutes after full time. Nothing is removed afterwards.
That last part is the difference. A prediction site that shows you today's tips and never mentions yesterday's is asking you to take accuracy on trust. The hit rate, the sample size and the calibration gap at the top of this page are the same numbers the app publishes for free, and they are recomputed after every settlement pass.
A Dixon-Coles model fitted on historical results produces a probability for how many cards the referee shows. Team strength, home advantage and recent form are the inputs; the output is a distribution, not a tip.
The number at the top of this page is the measured hit rate over the last 30 days for this exact market, with the count of settled predictions beside it. It moves with the record, including downwards.
The model's probability for the selection shown. It is a calibrated probability, so over a large enough sample the selections shown at 70% should land about 70% of the time - the gap between those two numbers is published as the calibration gap.
No. Vecta Score is not a bookmaker, takes no bets and holds no funds. These are statistical estimates published for information, and outcomes are not guaranteed.
Every market on every match, the edge against the market price and the AI panel live in the app - and the Accuracy Ledger is free in it.
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