Our model's view of which side opens the scoring across every competition playing on 5 November 2026 — and, above the table, how this market has actually performed.
Kick-off times in UTC · 80 matches priced · rebuilt every few minutes
Measured, not claimed: every first goal prediction we publish is graded once the match is settled, and the misses are counted in the same place as the hits. The full record is in the app's Accuracy Ledger.
| UTC | Match | Competition | First goal | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Ferro Carril v Club Nacional Miss · 1-2 | Copa Uruguay | Ferro Carril score first | 48% |
| 00:00 | LDU Quito v Universidad Católica Miss · 1-2 | Copa Ecuador | LDU Quito score first | 50% |
| 00:00 | Puntarenas FC v San Carlos Miss · 0-1 | Primera División | Puntarenas FC score first | 49% |
| 00:00 | Sporting Baie-Mahault v Siroco Les Abymes | Coupe de France | Sporting Baie-Mahault score first | 50% |
| 00:15 | Olimpia v Deportivo Recoleta Hit · 4-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura | Olimpia score first | 67% |
| 00:30 | The Strongest v Always Ready Miss · 1-4 | Copa de la División Profesional | The Strongest score first | 53% |
| 00:30 | São Paulo FC v Corinthians Miss · 0-0 | Serie A | São Paulo FC score first | 49% |
| 00:30 | Botafogo v Atletico-MG Miss · 1-0 | Serie A | Atletico-MG score first | 53% |
| 01:00 | Firpo v Alianza | Primera Division | Firpo score first | 60% |
| 01:00 | Municipal Limeño v Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | Municipal Limeño score first | 70% |
| 01:05 | Tlaxcala v CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX | CA La Paz score first | 49% |
| 01:30 | Universitario v Sport Boys | Primera División | Universitario score first | 61% |
| 01:30 | Millonarios v America de Cali | Primera A | Millonarios score first | 46% |
| 01:30 | CD Olimpia v Juticalpa | Liga Nacional | CD Olimpia score first | 86% |
| 02:00 | Escorpiones Belén v LD Alajuelense | Primera División | Escorpiones Belén score first | 51% |
| 05:00 | Khovd Western v Ulaangom City | Premier League | Khovd Western score first | 65% |
| 08:00 | Amtat Fc v Erchim | Premier League | Amtat Fc score first | 54% |
| 08:30 | Sydney Olympic v Oakleigh Cannons | Australian Championship | Oakleigh Cannons score first | 72% |
| 10:00 | Machida Zelvia v Shanghai Shenhua | AFC Cup | Machida Zelvia score first | 61% |
| 10:00 | Home United v Adelaide United Hit · 5-0 | AFC Cup | Home United score first | 60% |
| 10:00 | Kitchee v Phnom Penh Crown | AFC Cup | Kitchee score first | 66% |
| 11:00 | Saint-luc v Lubumbashi Sport | Ligue 1 | Saint-luc score first | 45% |
| 11:00 | Butras v Simba | Ligue 1 | Simba score first | 61% |
| 11:00 | Zaqatala v MOIK | Birinci Dəstə | MOIK score first | 62% |
| 11:00 | Səbail FK v Cəbrayıl | Birinci Dəstə | Səbail FK score first | 64% |
| 11:00 | Karvan v Şimal | Birinci Dəstə | Karvan score first | 52% |
| 11:00 | Baku Sportinq v Xankəndi FK | Birinci Dəstə | Baku Sportinq score first | 46% |
| 11:30 | Churchill Brothers v NorthEast United | Indian Super League | Churchill Brothers score first | 50% |
| 12:00 | FAR Rabat Women v Usfas Bamako Women | CAF Women's Champions League | Usfas Bamako Women score first | 72% |
| 12:00 | Trepça Mitrovicë v Istogu | Liga E Pare | Istogu score first | 55% |
| 12:15 | Svay Rieng v Tampines Rovers | AFC Cup | Svay Rieng score first | 58% |
| 12:15 | Bangkok Glass v Wofoo Tai Po | AFC Cup | Bangkok Glass score first | 55% |
| 12:15 | Kuching City v Gangwon FC | AFC Cup | Kuching City score first | 66% |
| 12:30 | El Gouna v El Shorta | Cup | El Gouna score first | 43% |
| 12:45 | Fanja v Al Musannah | Professional League | Fanja score first | 46% |
| 13:00 | NAPSA Stars FC v Power Dynamos | Super League | Power Dynamos score first | 58% |
| 13:00 | Konkola Blades v Trident | Super League | Konkola Blades score first | 50% |
| 13:00 | Samaleswari Sc v Dempo | I-League | Samaleswari Sc score first | 51% |
| 13:00 | Sanga Balende v Blessing | Ligue 1 | Sanga Balende score first | 46% |
| 13:00 | AS New Soger v CS Manika | Ligue 1 | AS New Soger score first | 42% |
| 13:00 | Shams Azar Qazvin v Sanat Naft | Persian Gulf Pro League | Shams Azar Qazvin score first | 41% |
| 13:00 | Ntugasaze v Entebbe UPPC | Premier League | Entebbe UPPC score first | 48% |
| 13:00 | Sunrise v Al Merreikh | National Soccer League | Al Merreikh score first | 44% |
| 13:00 | Marines v Police | National Soccer League | Marines score first | 48% |
| 13:00 | Nchanga Rangers v Makeni All Stars | Super League | Nchanga Rangers score first | 52% |
| 13:00 | Mutondo Stars v Mufulira Wanderers | Super League | Mutondo Stars score first | 44% |
| 13:00 | Green Buffaloes v ZESCO United | Super League | Green Buffaloes score first | 40% |
| 13:00 | Chirundu Utd v Green Eagles | Super League | Chirundu Utd score first | 44% |
| 13:00 | Al Kahrabaa v Zakho | Iraqi League | Al Kahrabaa score first | 51% |
| 13:25 | Al Kholood v Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | Al Kholood score first | 60% |
| 13:30 | Bunyodkor v Xorazm | Super League | Bunyodkor score first | 50% |
| 13:45 | Diyala v Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League | Diyala score first | 49% |
| 14:00 | Vozdovac U19 v Novi Pazar U19 | U19 league | Vozdovac U19 score first | 55% |
| 14:00 | Rangers FC v New Jack | Ligue 1 | Rangers FC score first | 64% |
| 14:00 | ATK Mohun Bagan v Odisha | Indian Super League | ATK Mohun Bagan score first | 58% |
| 14:00 | Nico United v Morupule Wanderers FC | Premier League | Morupule Wanderers FC score first | 43% |
| 14:15 | Qatar U23 v Al-Khor | Second Division | Qatar U23 score first | 51% |
| 14:15 | Al-Markhiya v Al Waab | Second Division | Al-Markhiya score first | 54% |
| 15:00 | Ampem Darkoa Women v Kawempe Muslim Women | CAF Women's Champions League | Ampem Darkoa Women score first | 51% |
| 15:00 | FC Jerusalem v Dimona | Liga Alef | FC Jerusalem score first | 50% |
| 15:00 | Chindia Târgoviște v Popești-Leordeni | Liga II | Chindia Târgoviște score first | 56% |
| 15:00 | National Bank of Egypt v Bur Fouad | Cup | National Bank of Egypt score first | 54% |
| 15:10 | Abha v Al Shabab | Pro League | Abha score first | 60% |
| 15:20 | Dhofar v Saham | Professional League | Dhofar score first | 53% |
| 15:30 | Stella v AFAD | Ligue 1 | AFAD score first | 45% |
| 15:30 | San-Pédro v SOA | Ligue 1 | San-Pédro score first | 54% |
| 15:30 | Bouaké v Korhogo | Ligue 1 | Bouaké score first | 55% |
| 15:30 | Mosul v Duhok | Iraqi League | Mosul score first | 52% |
| 16:00 | Express v Blacks Power | Premier League | Express score first | 50% |
| 16:30 | Volga Ulyanovsk v Chertanovo Moscow | Cup | Volga Ulyanovsk score first | 49% |
| 16:30 | Al Rayyan Sc B v Al Kharaitiyat | Second Division | Al Kharaitiyat score first | 45% |
| 16:45 | Neom Sc Women v Al Hilal Women | Premier League Women | Al Hilal Women score first | 58% |
| 17:00 | Vipers v Lugazi | Premier League | Vipers score first | 73% |
| 17:00 | Al-Ittihad FC v Al Suqoor | Pro League | Al-Ittihad FC score first | 54% |
| 17:00 | Al-Hazem v Al-Nassr | Pro League | Al-Nassr score first | 70% |
| 17:00 | Al-Fateh SC v Al Riyadh | Pro League | Al Riyadh score first | 48% |
| 17:00 | Al-Faisaly v Al Diriyah | Pro League | Al-Faisaly score first | 53% |
| 17:00 | Al-Ettifaq v Al-Hilal Saudi | Pro League | Al-Hilal Saudi score first | 68% |
| 17:00 | Al-Ahli Saudi v Al Taawoun FC | Pro League | Al-Ahli Saudi score first | 75% |
| 17:00 | Police XI v Township Rollers | Premier League | Police XI score first | 45% |
The same fixtures, priced for a different question.
Every fixture above carries a published probability for which side opens the scoring. The model is fitted on historical results rather than on opinion, it is re-run when a starting XI is confirmed, and each prediction is settled and graded fifteen minutes after full time. Nothing is removed afterwards.
That last part is the difference. A prediction site that shows you today's tips and never mentions yesterday's is asking you to take accuracy on trust. The hit rate, the sample size and the calibration gap at the top of this page are the same numbers the app publishes for free, and they are recomputed after every settlement pass.
A Dixon-Coles model fitted on historical results produces a probability for which side opens the scoring. Team strength, home advantage and recent form are the inputs; the output is a distribution, not a tip.
The number at the top of this page is the measured hit rate over the last 30 days for this exact market, with the count of settled predictions beside it. It moves with the record, including downwards.
The model's probability for the selection shown. It is a calibrated probability, so over a large enough sample the selections shown at 70% should land about 70% of the time - the gap between those two numbers is published as the calibration gap.
No. Vecta Score is not a bookmaker, takes no bets and holds no funds. These are statistical estimates published for information, and outcomes are not guaranteed.
Every market on every match, the edge against the market price and the AI panel live in the app - and the Accuracy Ledger is free in it.
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