Final score 0-4. Below is what the model published before kick-off, and how each market was graded.
15 October 2026 at 16:45 UTC
| Market | Model says | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result Miss | RB Salzburg win | 71% |
| Both teams to score Hit | Not both | 55% |
| Over / under Hit | Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Double chance Miss | RB Salzburg or draw | 89% |
| Clean sheet Miss | RB Salzburg clean sheet | 49% |
| Correct score Miss | 2-0 | 13% |
| First goal | RB Salzburg score first | 71% |
| Half time / full time | RB Salzburg / RB Salzburg | 47% |
| Total corners Miss | Over 8.5 corners | 69% |
| Total cards Hit | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
Each row is a calibrated probability, not a tip. The model is fitted on historical results, re-run when the lineup lands, and every market here is settled and graded once the match is over — the verdict stays on the page whether it went our way or not. Market-level records live on the predictions board.
Every market on every match, the edge against the market price and the AI panel live in the app - and the Accuracy Ledger is free in it.
Get it on Google Play