Final score 1-1. Below is what the model published before kick-off, and how each market was graded.
12 October 2026 at 14:30 UTC
| Market | Model says | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result Hit | Draw | 42% |
| Both teams to score Miss | Not both | 83% |
| Over / under Hit | Under 3.5 goals | 97% |
| Double chance Hit | Naft Bandar Abbas or draw | 84% |
| Clean sheet Miss | Naft Bandar Abbas clean sheet | 69% |
| Correct score Miss | 0-0 | 32% |
| First goal | Naft Bandar Abbas score first | 46% |
| Half time / full time | Draw / Draw | 37% |
| Total corners | Over 8.5 corners | 69% |
| Total cards | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
Each row is a calibrated probability, not a tip. The model is fitted on historical results, re-run when the lineup lands, and every market here is settled and graded once the match is over — the verdict stays on the page whether it went our way or not. Market-level records live on the predictions board.
Every market on every match, the edge against the market price and the AI panel live in the app - and the Accuracy Ledger is free in it.
Get it on Google Play