Final score 1-1. Below is what the model published before kick-off, and how each market was graded.
21 October 2026 at 21:00 UTC
| Market | Model says | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result Miss | Estudiantes de Merida FC win | 42% |
| Both teams to score Hit | Both score | 51% |
| Over / under Hit | Under 3.5 goals | 76% |
| Double chance Miss | Estudiantes de Merida FC or Caracas FC | 72% |
| Clean sheet Miss | Estudiantes de Merida FC clean sheet | 33% |
| Correct score Hit | 1-1 | 13% |
| First goal | Estudiantes de Merida FC score first | 51% |
| Half time / full time | Estudiantes de Merida FC / Estudiantes de Merida FC | 25% |
| Total corners Miss | Over 8.5 corners | 69% |
| Total cards Miss | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
Each row is a calibrated probability, not a tip. The model is fitted on historical results, re-run when the lineup lands, and every market here is settled and graded once the match is over — the verdict stays on the page whether it went our way or not. Market-level records live on the predictions board.
Every market on every match, the edge against the market price and the AI panel live in the app - and the Accuracy Ledger is free in it.
Get it on Google Play