Final score 5-0. Below is what the model published before kick-off, and how each market was graded.
16 October 2026 at 18:45 UTC
| Market | Model says | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result Hit | Cambrian & Clydach win | 78% |
| Both teams to score Miss | Both score | 72% |
| Over / under Hit | Over 1.5 goals | 96% |
| Double chance Hit | Cambrian & Clydach or draw | 90% |
| Clean sheet Hit | Cambrian & Clydach clean sheet | 26% |
| Correct score Miss | 3-1 | 7% |
| First goal | Cambrian & Clydach score first | 72% |
| Half time / full time | Cambrian & Clydach / Cambrian & Clydach | 57% |
| Total corners | Over 8.5 corners | 69% |
| Total cards | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
Each row is a calibrated probability, not a tip. The model is fitted on historical results, re-run when the lineup lands, and every market here is settled and graded once the match is over — the verdict stays on the page whether it went our way or not. Market-level records live on the predictions board.
Every market on every match, the edge against the market price and the AI panel live in the app - and the Accuracy Ledger is free in it.
Get it on Google Play