Final score 0-3. Below is what the model published before kick-off, and how each market was graded.
27 October 2026 at 20:00 UTC
| Market | Model says | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result Hit | Malaga win | 86% |
| Both teams to score Miss | Both score | 58% |
| Over / under Hit | Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
| Double chance Hit | Draw or Malaga | 95% |
| Clean sheet Hit | Malaga clean sheet | 40% |
| Correct score Hit | 0-3 | 8% |
| First goal Hit | Malaga score first | 79% |
| Half time / full time Miss | Malaga / Malaga | 65% |
| Total corners Miss | Over 8.5 corners | 69% |
| Total cards Miss | Under 5.5 cards | 74% |
Each row is a calibrated probability, not a tip. The model is fitted on historical results, re-run when the lineup lands, and every market here is settled and graded once the match is over — the verdict stays on the page whether it went our way or not. Market-level records live on the predictions board.
Every market on every match, the edge against the market price and the AI panel live in the app - and the Accuracy Ledger is free in it.
Get it on Google Play